The winners of the nominated awards get announced that night. No one will know until then.
But the award Adam is getting is much bigger and is the one that gets all the press. Everyone remembers Anderson Cooper got the big award in NYC, right? Anyone remember the winners of the other NY awards?
I am going to guess though, that if the music award is not given in LA on April 20th, that there is a high possibility Adam has won it.
ETA: Just read your post, Q3, and have to ask, "Why?" Why do they
want to recognize Frank Ocean in some way? What has he done besides release an over hyped album & a dreadful performance on the Grammys?
Adam will be getting the biggest award GLAAD has. It is the award presented to an openly LGBT individual who has made a significant difference in promoting equal rights for the LGBT community.
On the music award, my vote would go to Adam, then to Gossip, but I think Frank Ocean will win this award -- two different things. I root for Frank Ocean to be successful because I am a fan and because it is good for Adam to have other out, current, major label artists be successful.
The main reason I think Frank Ocean will win is because voters know Adam is getting the big award. So that makes the choice easy.
A few more reasons I think Frank Ocean will win this award:
1. He is an extraordinarily talented musician and songwriter who is an out, black, urban contemporary artist. And he came out before his debut album was released.
2. Channel Orange - is an album about a same sex relationship that sold over 500,000 copies in the US -- in other words, a gay-themed album that achieve broad commercial success.
3. Channel Orange is critically acclaimed. It was
the best album of the year according to: The A.V. Club, Billboard, Chicago Sun-Times, Chicago Tribune, Consequence of Sound, Entertainment Weekly, The Guardian, Los Angeles Times, musicOMH, The Sydney Morning Herald, Now, Paste, PopMatters, Slant Magazine, Spin, The Washington Post, and Jon Pareles of The New York Times. The second best album of the year by Allmusic, Ann Powers, BBC, Complex, Exclaim!, Filter, Mojo, Pitchfork Media, and Rolling Stone, number three by Clash, Jim DeRogatis, NME, State, and Time, and number five by Uncut. In his top-10 list for the Los Angeles Times, Lawrence K. Ho called it "the most magnetic record of the year" and wrote that it "feels like a work that as the years pass will only grow in stature." Metacritic cited it as both the "top-ranked" and "best-reviewed major album" of 2012, as well as "one of the best-reviewed albums of the past decade". Channel Orange got Grammy Awards for Album of the Year, Best New Artist, and Record of the Year for "Thinkin Bout You" and won the Grammy Award for Best Urban Contemporary Album.
4. "No Church in the Wild"
On Frank Ocean's totally botched performance at The Grammys, I agree with you on that, a f'ing disaster. But he did solid performances on SNL and the VMAs -- so it will not matter that he made the totally odd choice of doing "Forest Gump" on the Grammys and then had that ridiculous production. And I have learned not to judge an artist by one award's performance because sometimes these high-profile performances do not represent the best the artist can do.
I realize that many Adam fans (pop music fans/rock fans/Eagle fans/etc/etc) do not appreciate or even like Frank Ocean's music. It makes sense that Adam fans would not universally love "Channel Orange" since it is alt hip hop -- pretty much the polar opposite of Adam's vocally-driven pop-rock/dance music.
Finally, if I got to vote, I would vote for Adam. I just do not think that he will win this one.